FireStarter101 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 So i did the math and made a Google Doc for everyone to see. Link Fixed https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0Av6Pw_RW-qmldGo4UDBCZ1FDenJjMWhBVjZYdEtHcFE&single=true&gid=0&output=html update 9/12/14 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dJWmNnptCy3BZClNi4JQHDPloRZPt4nXhGj-wJu6CBg/pubhtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bakgrund Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 404 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FireStarter101 Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seminal Inhalation Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Dang. Dedication. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punishment_Fatal Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Well hot damn. I must've been lucky dropping 2 Aussies in 7 tours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Bucket Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 So what you're saying is: it's easier to unbox an unusual than get an australium? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Venom Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FireStarter101 Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 well it would be easier to open 200 crates then to do 200 tours (800 hours of game play) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The G What ™ Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Actually high considering the number of tours completed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
-Scorchfire- Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Did you considered that not every tour that had been made to date has been a two cities tour? Because I don't see any of that on the sheet, it's pretty obvious though don't think you missed it, just asking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knavesmith Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 So what you're saying is: it's easier to unbox an unusual than get an australium?Implying that the Unusual drop rate is 1%, which is not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Bucket Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Implying that the Unusual drop rate is 1%, which is not. I'm not implying that, I'm implying the unusual drop rate is over 0.47% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AwesomeMcCoolName Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I'm not implying that, I'm implying the unusual drop rate is over 0.47% is it though? most people i talk to are around 1/300 on average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knavesmith Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I'm not implying that, I'm implying the unusual drop rate is over 0.47%It might not be, though. All we know is that it's < 1%, unless there's some document discussing an exact drop rate I am not aware of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuffinsDad Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 So I have a better chance playing on my ALT than playing on this account with 33 tours and 0 Australiums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FireStarter101 Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 Did you considered that not every tour that had been made to date has been a two cities tour? Because I don't see any of that on the sheet, it's pretty obvious though don't think you missed it, just asking i only counted the two cities tours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FireStarter101 Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 So I have a better chance playing on my ALT than playing on this account with 33 tours and 0 Australiums. no you have the same chance of getting it on your 1st tour as you do on your 200th tour. if i do the math 0.433% of the people with tours got it on there 1st tour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Budi Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Wow I feel so special that only 437 players have more tours than I do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Snow knows nothing Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Finally a topic worth discussing. Can I ask where you get your information from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HusKy Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 That surely can't be right? Several people (3 or 4) in my friends list found Australium weapon and they don't have even 100 tours combined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattking45 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I got an Australium eyelander on my 2 tour. I was so lucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AwesomeMcCoolName Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 That surely can't be right? Several people (3 or 4) in my friends list found Australium weapon and they don't have even 100 tours combined. 4 people isn't a statically large number. The drop percentage is a global thing, so .47 of every tour ever completed by anyone yields an aussie wep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FireStarter101 Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 Finally a topic worth discussing. Can I ask where you get your information from? yes i got all the info from backpack.tf and stats.tf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HusKy Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 4 people isn't a statically large number. The drop percentage is a global thing, so .47 of every tour ever completed by anyone yields an aussie wep. It's definitely not a large number but it's a fairly large deviation from 0.47%. I'm interested to see the source of data for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The G What ™ Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 It's definitely not a large number but it's a fairly large deviation from 0.47%. I'm interested to see the source of data for this. Of course it's a huge deviation. Your sample size is infinitesimally small compared to the sample size on that spreadsheet. I can flip a coin 4 times and get heads 3 times. That doesn't mean that the odds of flipping a coin are %75 heads. That's not how probability works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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