DEAD HEAD PRICE SURGE!

[Jacksparrow]

How can i be that "Dead head" has suddenly surged in price, like in the last 5 days it went from 17-19 keys to low 24? meanwhile we see a steady increase in amount of exsisting numbers, currently at 1878 k something? hows it that valuable at 1879k in exsistance?

[ChrisPy Bacon]

 You have to take in the factors like how many people like it, as sometimes the value of a hat isn’t completely based off how rare it is, (most of the time it though).

[Jacksparrow]

7 minutes ago, ChrisPy Bacon said:

 You have to take in the factors like how many people like it, as sometimes the value of a hat isn’t completely based off how rare it is, (most of the time it though).

true, but with the limited TF2 playerbase, 1878 is quite a % of the total playerbase

[LaughingLollipop]

4 minutes ago, Jacksparrow said:

true, but with the limited TF2 playerbase, 1878 is quite a % of the total playerbase

 

 

peak playercount near 100k means 200k daily uniques is likely a low estimate... if we throw in people who don't play daily its gonna be wildly higher (maybe even a million) dota has peaks around 700k, monthly uniques of over 7 million

 

so we're talking like a million monthly uniques and you're calling 2000 items 'quite a % of the playerbase'

 

wutface

 

 

[Jacksparrow]

4 minutes ago, LaughingLollipop said:

 

 

peak playercount near 100k means 200k daily uniques is likely a low estimate... if we throw in people who don't play daily its gonna be wildly higher (maybe even a million) dota has peaks around 700k, monthly uniques of over 7 million

 

so we're talking like a million monthly uniques and you're calling 2000 items 'quite a % of the playerbase'

 

wutface

 

 

where does these numbers come from? you are just wildly guessing, peak player count is 85,119 as of 01-09-2020, i get thats unique players, but i would assume most of the TF2 playerbase is returning players, so maybe its the same 80-90k players returning everyday?

[LaughingLollipop]

37 minutes ago, Jacksparrow said:

where does these numbers come from? you are just wildly guessing, peak player count is 85,119 as of 01-09-2020, i get thats unique players, but i would assume most of the TF2 playerbase is returning players, so maybe its the same 80-90k players returning everyday?

 

https://steamcharts.com/app/440

 

last 30 days peak online simultaneously is just shy of 97k

last 30 days average 67k

 

if you seriously think that a peak is the total number of people who played the game that day, I'm not sure where we begin. I think somewhere around grade 5, but I have no interest in providing remedial elementary education.

 

Dota peaks can be observed here https://steamcharts.com/app/570

The monthly uniques for dota are listed here https://blog.dota2.com/?l=english

 

so we see about 700k in peak and >10 times that in monthly uniques

we see average about 450k so >15 time that in monthly uniques

 

CSGO peaks here https://steamcharts.com/app/730

Monthly uniques here https://blog.counter-strike.net/

 

so we see peaks almost 1million and >20 times that in monthly uniques

we see average about 650k and >30 times that in monthly uniques

 

using the low end (dota multipliers)

we get

97k * 10 = 970,000 monthly unique tf2 players

or

67k * 15 = 1,050,000 monthly unique tf2 players

 

as crude estimates

 

so you're looking at a dead head/playercount percentage of ~0.2%

 

so while you talk like you know anything, I have data.

 

Data that says, you are wrong.

 

[ChrisPy Bacon]

15 minutes ago, LaughingLollipop said:

 

 

Data that says, you are wrong.

 

 Oof

[ryan coke]

19 minutes ago, LaughingLollipop said:

 

Data that says, you are wrong.

 

holy shit

[Flamadin]

How about the Strange Dead Head doe?

 

NONE currently available on S.C.M.

[ChrisPy Bacon]

1 minute ago, Flamadin said:

How about the Strange Dead Head doe?

 

NONE currently available on S.C.M.

It’s very expensive, and it would make sense for it to sell out

[ChrisPy Bacon]

Either way, it is an elite grade, and a nice one at that.

[h0wLze_]

3 hours ago, LaughingLollipop said:

 

https://steamcharts.com/app/440

 

last 30 days peak online simultaneously is just shy of 97k

last 30 days average 67k

 

if you seriously think that a peak is the total number of people who played the game that day, I'm not sure where we begin. I think somewhere around grade 5, but I have no interest in providing remedial elementary education.

 

Dota peaks can be observed here https://steamcharts.com/app/570

The monthly uniques for dota are listed here https://blog.dota2.com/?l=english

 

so we see about 700k in peak and >10 times that in monthly uniques

we see average about 450k so >15 time that in monthly uniques

 

CSGO peaks here https://steamcharts.com/app/730

Monthly uniques here https://blog.counter-strike.net/

 

so we see peaks almost 1million and >20 times that in monthly uniques

we see average about 650k and >30 times that in monthly uniques

 

using the low end (dota multipliers)

we get

97k * 10 = 970,000 monthly unique tf2 players

or

67k * 15 = 1,050,000 monthly unique tf2 players

 

as crude estimates

 

so you're looking at a dead head/playercount percentage of ~0.2%

 

so while you talk like you know anything, I have data.

 

Data that says, you are wrong.

 

god you're pretentious. doesn't matter if you're right, that was still a fkn cringe-fest. dude thinks he's an anime character. he didnt even antagonize you; you just adjusted your anime glasses and went full Ben Shapiro for no reason bro.

[LaughingLollipop]

4 hours ago, h0wLze_ said:

 

 

so way up there someone comes in pretty hot with a 'you're just wildly guessing' and demands source data after being presented with a fact that doesn't support their arguement

 

now that they've been provided their source data and proven to be the one who is wildly guessing you're here to whine about the tone of the response?

 

just wow.

 

Those who live in glass houses should not throw stones

[LSO]

Not to mention the dead heads locked in accounts that either buy items to keep or just don't play anymore.

[Exidy]

The drop chance for The Dead head is .50%, making it more rare than an unusual. Imagine getting that thing unusual....

[Xaeriel]

1 hour ago, Exidy said:

The drop chance for The Dead head is .50%, making it more rare than an unusual. Imagine getting that thing unusual....

Yas queen but technically the chance to get a good unusual effect may be lower than 0.50%

[MFB Goobie]

2 hours ago, Exidy said:

The drop chance for The Dead head is .50%, making it more rare than an unusual. Imagine getting that thing unusual....

Not possible, for a good reason.

[creepio]

18 hours ago, MFB Goobie said:

Not possible, for a good reason.

Misty Skull Dead Head

 

lololol