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[PSA] Unusual Price Update Request Thread


Jester

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 What should be the range. And can you also sum up the offers into bud amount so i can understand it. I can suggest it for you. I can go up to like 400 buds lol 

Well, I bought mine from a friend who got it for a Purple Fetti Softcap lol (he never knew he sharked since he's new to unusual trading, why is it so is stated above), I was helping him out with offers and stuff since February and he sold it to me for 55 mixed (Clean Moon Modest + 9 pure + Nuts Nappers, why is it 55 in sum I explained above), he just wanted an all-class unusual and since he couldn't sell his Dome for almost 5 months he sold it to me. You can add him and ask him yourself, he was just sick of selling it and was happy to take anything worth above 50 in sum. Search for Panacea on outpost, he's one with green nickname.

Since none of the sellers is considering anything under 60 pure / mix (except Ashes, he's cashing out and asks for only 45 pure) and I've got offers of around 70 (offers' value can be found in my original post) and still rejected everything, this must be a big bump imo. This hat will be difficult to price actually. Last time this hat was bought for around 75 mixed (GE Dome when it was 30 solid buds + Clean Moon Modest which is around 45, explanation in original post) and it was just like 1.5 months ago. Since everyone only takes offers of 60+ into consideration, last actual purchase was for ~75 (not counting me getting it for 55, I think it's pretty clear why) and both me and others keep getting offers of around 70 mixed (and rejected every single one), I think range of 70-73 would have been fair. Tell me what you think. And of course this suggestion will be spammed with downvotes obviously.

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I could use some help here. I'm pretty much done with gathering proof to update the Eerie Dragonborn, but I can't figure out how much I <3 Feeding payed for it, or even who he bought it from. It shows that Steve Cool or Satan owned it before him, but neither have anything show up as being traded for the hat. It also doesn't help that the only sign of what Feeding could have possibly paid didn't go to anyone that owned it, and there's no sign of Steve having a trade up for the hat.

 

If anyone could help me figure out what Feeding bought it for, it would be really helpful.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9431901 Only trade Satan had an offer on it. No other trades up for this prior to Feeding owning it in the past 5 owners.

http://backpack.tf/id/vaughanr Stever Cool's bp

http://backpack.tf/id/comatthew6 Feeding's bp

http://backpack.tf/id/satantrading1 Satan's bp

 

Feeding gets the hat on the 22nd of March.

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I could use some help here. I'm pretty much done with gathering proof to update the Eerie Dragonborn, but I can't figure out how much I <3 Feeding payed for it, or even who he bought it from. It shows that Steve Cool or Satan owned it before him, but neither have anything show up as being traded for the hat. It also doesn't help that the only sign of what Feeding could have possibly paid didn't go to anyone that owned it, and there's no sign of Steve having a trade up for the hat.

 

If anyone could help me figure out what Feeding bought it for, it would be really helpful.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9431901 Only trade Satan had an offer on it. No other trades up for this prior to Feeding owning it in the past 5 owners.

http://backpack.tf/id/vaughanr Stever Cool's bp

http://backpack.tf/id/comatthew6 Feeding's bp

http://backpack.tf/id/satantrading1 Satan's bp

 

Feeding gets the hat on the 22nd of March.

Add him.

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Alright. This Im not sure what the high end should be. Low end is obviously 3.2 but I can't tell what to consider outlier for the high end. Doesn't help one the transactions involves a duped hat and I still am not 100% sure on how much a duped hat is typically devalued.

 

 

Newest owner. Leaving here to keep track of.
 
Offered a 13th Hour VRH (5-6) and a Knifestorm Hotdogger (no price)
Sold for a N&B Ten Gallon + Blizzard Capo (3.5-4) ~ 3.2 pure
Trad occured around April 21st.
 
Sold for a Haunted Sergeants Drill (3.4-4.2) ~ 3.2 pure
He did say a Solly set with it but it looks like only the Haunted Drill was traded.
Trade occured around April 16-17th.
 
Had offers of a N&B TC (3.2-3.7), a Smoking Flamenco + Hearts Big Chief (3.1-3.9)*, a Bubbling KE (3.6-4.1), a 13th Hour Doc Sack (2.7-3.2)*, and a Lantern Guad (4.4-5.3).
Sold for a duped Sunbeams Bonk Helm + Smoking Bonk Boy (5.3-6.3 clean) ~ 5 pure
Because no other offers are near 5 pure and the Bonk Helm is duped, this trade is being considered outlier.
Next best offer was that Lantern Guad worth 4.1 pure.
Trade occured around April 5th.
 
Tried to "quicksell" for 4-5 buds and even went down to 3.5.
Had offers of a Smoking KE (4.8-5.3 at time of offer), and a Stormy Brown Bomber (4.2-5).
Sold plus 14 keys for 2 non lvl 1/7 Max's (3.5 buds pure).
Trade occured around March 27th.
 
Only trade from this owner. Sold for a Steaming Hazmat (4.3-5.5) ~ 4.2 pure
Trade occured around February 24-26th.
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could you help me price check a lucky shot misty skull? only one on the world

 

Done.^^

 

@Duscoda (don't want to copy your whole post down)

 

I usually don't factor duped hats into the pricee UNLESS a sale occurs at the same value or greater compared to the clean hat. I can bump up a price of the hat with the duped version, but I won't bump it down with it. 

 

 

 

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Done.^^

 

@Duscoda (don't want to copy your whole post down)

 

I usually don't factor duped hats into the pricee UNLESS a sale occurs at the same value or greater compared to the clean hat. I can bump up a price of the hat with the duped version, but I won't bump it down with it. 

Eh screw it. I'll just make the high end 4.2.

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Glad to see this is still going on without me. Now that the bud prices on BP are realistic, I'll try to get more involved again.

 

When bud prices were like 10-15% off is was a waste of time to update. hopefully the market remains on balance like it is now.

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Getting a quick second opinion on price range. I was thinking 18-22 or 23 keys. Will submit in the morning when I'm not tired.

 

Completed Trades


Had offers Stormy Hetman (18-21), Planets Raincatcher (19-22), Planets Pencil Pusher + 4 keys (20-21), and a Planets Guad (18-22)**

Sold for a SF Grenade + SF Huntsman + Strange Holiday Punch (23.5-25.5) ~ 22 pure

 


Sold for a Steaming Safe n Sound + 6 keys (21-26) ~ 21 pure

 


Was offered a Blizzard Geezer for his N&B Tyrolean (19-23).

 


Had offers of 20 keys, and Planets Mining Light (18-21).

Offered it for a Steaming Bicorne (20-23 keys).

 


Sold for a 2011 Festive Set + Festive GL + 3 ref (18.5-20) ~ 18 pure

 


Daniel offered it and 7 keys for a Strange Gunslinger (28-30).

Leaves a value of 21-23 for the Blizzard Geezer

 


Sold for 17 DOTA keys which is about 21-22 TF2 keys.

 


Sold for 22 keys


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Getting a quick second opinion on price range. I was thinking 18-22 or 23 keys. Will submit in the morning when I'm not tired.
 
Completed Trades
Had offers Stormy Hetman (18-21), Planets Raincatcher (19-22), Planets Pencil Pusher + 4 keys (20-21), and a Planets Guad (18-22)**
Sold for a SF Grenade + SF Huntsman + Strange Holiday Punch (23.5-25.5) ~ 22 pure
 
Sold for a Steaming Safe n Sound + 6 keys (21-26) ~ 21 pure
 
Was offered a Blizzard Geezer for his N&B Tyrolean (19-23).
 
Had offers of 20 keys, and Planets Mining Light (18-21).
Offered it for a Steaming Bicorne (20-23 keys).
 
Sold for a 2011 Festive Set + Festive GL + 3 ref (18.5-20) ~ 18 pure
 
Daniel offered it and 7 keys for a Strange Gunslinger (28-30).
Leaves a value of 21-23 for the Blizzard Geezer
 
Sold for 17 DOTA keys which is about 21-22 TF2 keys.
 
Sold for 22 keys

 

Looking very good. I'd say 22 keys.

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I'm not sure about the price for the lantern tc. I watched the trades for a some weeks now and 2 sales happened recently and the new owners finally get more offers, so much more data now.

 

Flaming Lantern Team Captain (16-23 buds)

Past sales:
#1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5561068 - sold 5 months ago
for: 11 buds + holiday headcase (4.5) + clean max (2) + milkman stormy storm (1.5) + Larrikin Robin Circling Heart (2) + Flamboyant Flamenco Orbiting Planets (1.3) + B.M.O.C (0.7) = 23 pure.

#2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8257704 - sold 5 days ago
for 16 pure
had unusuals offers worth ~20 buds before, pure buds are way more attractive.

fun fact, bought it with a scorching + ge tc (~60 buds?) back then: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/1682509 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/2173149

#3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6269293 - sold 5 months ago

cloudy crones, about 50 traded for Lantern TC + Cauldron Hairpiece (9+) + Secret Bonnet (6) + 10 buds --> tc was valued at ~25 buds maybe a bit lower ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6244251 his b/o was 26 buds).

#4
http://tf2shop.net/details/378-5-e37 - last sold for 850$ to monkey, about ~23 buds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10252803 - sold 1 week ago
for vintage buds (??), seems like they were worth ~16 pure.

Current trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10513917 - b/o 27 buds
all my unusuals on tc ( http://backpack.tf/id/76561198067090401?time=1367564400) : http://gyazo.com/44c468ff4ab2288cfd7c19dbe2f3395e (screenshot from his backpack 3 days ago when he offered it) = 23.6 buds in unusuals. Counting 85% overpay because of the halloween effect on the cannonbal --> ~20 pure
secret stahl 1:1 ~20 pure
duped burning cp 1:1 ~maybe 22 pure?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7712279
claims to have a c/o of 27 buds since months, some offers reaching 20 buds but he still thinks the c/o is valid...

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10269301 - b/o of 25 buds
duped burning cp again ~maybe 22 pure?

Conclusion: Low end: Pure buds, High End: Unusuals.

 

PS: I know some trades are months old.

 

Would you say this is good?

 

EDIT: Whatever, I just post it.

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Somebody want to submit this for me? I overpaid on my buy and I don't want people to be biased.

 

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8982758 - Sold for Scorching Trophy Belt + Steaming Conjurer's Cowl + SF Sticky + SF Knife + SF Minigun - at the time 4.7 + 1.6 + 1.2 + 1.2 + 1.3, which brings it to 9 with overpay.

 

I bought mine for 10.5 pure. Album of transactions: http://imgur.com/a/2zBHY

There's a description of what happens in the album, but in case it can't be accessed, here's what happens: I give Satan (seller) 8 pure and my PE Hallmark as insurance until I complete my payment of 10.5 pure. Later, I switched the Hallmark with the Belt because I sold the Hallmark to another user. I finished my payment of 10.5 to Satan and he gave me the Belt.

 

 

The last documented sale before that was (I believe) a duped V. Earbuds for a clean Self-Made Key and the hat, which would put it somewhere around 9 IIRC but dupes can't be used in proof. However, that trade had a buyout of 10 pure http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10334357 so I'm proposing a high end of 10 pure.

 

9-10 range.

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I'm currently looking into Circling Hearts Prancer's Pride

There are 2 on the market, 1 duped.

Current price is 1.2-1.5

 

The duped has sold for Nuts Beak 1.7-1.9 + Nuts Pencil Pusher 1-1.2 so ~2.6 with overpay. Which later sold for 40 keys + TS Bills.  Current owner has offers of a Hearts Western Wear ~1.9 with overpay, and a Green Energy Snaggle (2.8-3) if seller adds.

Additionally, there are offers higher for the non-duped including a Hearts Rack (3.9-4.2) if seller adds. Blizzardy Storm Lucky Shot + 7 keys so ~1.9-2.

 

So what I'm getting at is, this obviously needs a raise, but what to do about the duped? The non-duped hasn't sold, but both are getting higher offers, with unknown amounts of sweets expected. 

 

How do you do a conservative bump raised by the duped sales, but allowing for the non-duped to get more?

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I'm not sure what to make the low end for this. I was originally thinking 20, but there was a trade for 18 pure and an unusual worth 17 pure after overpay.

 

 

Completed trades
 
Offered and sold for 25 keys.
 
Quicksold it for 18 keys.
 
Notable offers of a Stormy Bombing Run (21-25 keys), Planets Steel Toe + 3-4 keys in items (19-24 keys), and a Blizzard Big counter (24-26).
Sold for 1 bud (21-22 keys).
 
Owner above was offered and accepted the Smoking Jeepcap for his Blizzard Hard Top (20-22 keys).
Trade occured March 20-23rd
 
Sold it with 8 keys to upgrade to a Stormy Jeepcap 1.3-1.6 buds or 28-34 keys
Leaves a value of 20-26 keys for the Smoking Jeepcap.
 
Sold for a Smoking Slouch (18-23) ~ 17 keys pure
Considering outlier due to lack of sales at this price and since it was originally bought from a hijacked account.
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Could someone do a suggestion for Planets KE? I know one just passed, but it was accepted with a pretty awful range. Thanks :)

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Could someone do a suggestion for Planets KE? I know one just passed, but it was accepted with a pretty awful range. Thanks :)

You are rich enough to do it yourself, plus you has teh experience. Why no you price youself? :ph34r:

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You are rich enough to do it yourself, plus you has teh experience. Why no you price youself? :ph34r:

 

Cause he's a Spy Max from Scribblenauts

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10352746

bubbling modest(2.6)+planets swag(0.9)+14-22 keys?

http://backpack.tf/id/76561198067149626?time=1367305200

http://backpack.tf/id/76561198067149626?time=1367391600

approx 12 keys and a s sapper.

 

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9221086

for CM billy(3.5-4.8)

blizz cowl(1.8-2.5) and planets KE

^^^^^^^^

Valuing billy at max price, cowl at min price, 4.8-1.8=3 as KE

Muffins is right, I think it needs to be bumped down even more. But that is all for today.

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10562771

hmm would take 9.5?

OP is laggy, hard to price stuff

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10823036

9.6, clean. LOL at QS, they never take unusuals.

So, you are requesting a bump down? This can be done as soon as OP gets less laggy.

 

 

Strange, I've been seeing these sell from anywhere between 12-9 this past month, I assumed it would be raised.  Probably better to wait for a price then

 

 

Edit:  Either way 8.6?  That seems too low.  I could see 9.5 and the very minimum as 2 rejected 10 pure

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Strange, I've been seeing these sell from anywhere between 12-9 this past month, I assumed it would be raised.  Probably better to wait for a price then

 

 

Edit:  Either way 8.6?  That seems too low.  I could see 9.5 and the very minimum as 2 rejected 10 pure

so, 9.5-10?

make one and show the 10 pure offers.

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Need some help on the Eerie Executioner.

 

7 month old price. 

 

 

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10942494 - Sold for clean burning veil - 27+ pure. Veil price comes from http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10235460 - quicksell here. Veil is located at http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11012564 . 25+ with overpay.

 

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10138741 - Sold for Level 50 V. Sparkle Luger + Companion Box (like ~22 with overpay) 

 

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10068725 - Sold for Scorching Hallmark  + Secret AA  + S. Sapper (~19 pure)

 

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7390756 - Said he'd do $600 - about 16.5. I think this one is an outlier, as is the burning Veil.

 

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10397714 - "Quickselling" for $700 - untaken for 3 weeks. About 19 buds.

 

Thoughts?
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Need some help on the Eerie Executioner.
 
7 month old price. 
 
 
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10942494 - Sold for clean burning veil - 27+ pure. Veil price comes from http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10235460 - quicksell here. Veil is located at http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11012564 . 25+ with overpay.
 
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10138741 - Sold for Level 50 V. Sparkle Luger + Companion Box (like ~22 with overpay) 
 
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10068725 - Sold for Scorching Hallmark  + Secret AA  + S. Sapper (~19 pure)
 
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7390756 - Said he'd do $600 - about 16.5. I think this one is an outlier, as is the burning Veil.
 
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10397714 - "Quickselling" for $700 - untaken for 3 weeks. About 19 buds.
 
Thoughts?

Posted my thoughts in the suggestion. :P

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